Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Colonia Moscardó		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.5
	2.42	3.25	2.58
	2.54	3.25	2.69
	2.48	3.3	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.49	3.1	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.74)	3.19 ↓ (3.42)	2.58 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
36.6%

Draw
28.3%

Orihuela
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

26.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

25.5%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orihuela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orihuela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colonia Moscardó - Orihuela Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Martinez D. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moscardó won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Colonia Moscardó - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 32.94%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Orihuela - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.04.26	Getafe B - Colonia Moscardó	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Colonia Moscardó	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Colonia Moscardó - Las Palmas B	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Conquense - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Vallecano B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLLW
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.04.26	Orihuela - Conquense	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Tenerife B - Orihuela	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Orihuela - Coria	0:4 ✺
15.03.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Orihuela - Rayo Majadahonda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.01.26	Orihuela - Colonia Moscardó	1:1

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