Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Conquense		Colonia Moscardó

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.75
	1.5	3.65	5.7
	1.54	3.74	5.93
	1.52	3.91	5.81	Watch
	1.49	3.64	6.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	3.69 ↓ (3.71)	5.94 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
60%

Draw
24.7%

Colonia Moscardó
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

24.4%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

23.3%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Conquense - Colonia Moscardó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Taranilla V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽,
86', 3 - 0, Quique ⚽,

Preview

Conquense is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Moscardó is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Conquense is the team to beat.

We predict that Conquense will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Conquense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Conquense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Conquense	5	3	1	1	10:7	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.03.26	Intercity - Conquense	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Conquense - Las Palmas B	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Getafe B - Conquense	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Coria - Conquense	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Conquense - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWTWW
- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.03.26	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Vallecano B	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Quintanar del Rey - Colonia Moscardó	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Colonia Moscardó - Coria	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Colonia Moscardó - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	2:2
01.03.25	Conquense - Colonia Moscardó	2:1
19.10.24	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	0:2

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