Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Orihuela		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.5
	2.3	2.95	2.8
	2.52	3	2.62
	2.76	3	2.66
	2.66	3.05	2.61	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.6
	2.63	2.93	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.43)	2.96 ↑ (2.9)	2.62 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
35%

Draw
30.6%

Rayo Majadahonda
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

31%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

31.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Orihuela - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Faure I. ⚽,
19', San Jose K. 🟥,
21', 1 - 1, Solsona J. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 1 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 3, Faure I. ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, Solano R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Orihuela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Orihuela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Orihuela - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.05%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Rayo Majadahonda - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 31.97%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.02.26	Fuenlabrada - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Orihuela - Navalcarnero	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	Alcalá - Orihuela	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Orihuela - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Quintanar del Rey - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWTL
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Tenerife B - Rayo Majadahonda	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Real Madrid C - Rayo Majadahonda	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Las Palmas B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.09.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Orihuela	0:0

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