Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 11

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Colorado Caieiras		ECUS

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.68	2.58
	3.52	2.36	2.51
	3.01	2.34	3.01
	2.4	2.7	2.9
	3.15	2.76	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.2)	2.57 ↓ (3)	2.71 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Caieiras
30.6%

Draw
35.7%

ECUS
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

30.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Caieiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colorado Caieiras's form might have worsened.

ECUS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ECUS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Caieiras than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colorado Caieiras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ECUS than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ECUS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Colorado Caieiras - ECUS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, David Batista ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Silveira Joao ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Colorado Caieiras could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Caieiras FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
14.03.26	Colorado Caieiras - Taquaritinga	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Lemense FC - Colorado Caieiras	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Jacareí - Colorado Caieiras	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Colorado Caieiras - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Colorado Caieiras - Comercial SP	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWLTL
- Esporte Clube União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
14.03.26	Inter de Bebedouro - ECUS	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	ECUS - Jabaquara	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	ECUS - Tanabi	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Barretos - ECUS	0:0 ✺
25.02.26	São Caetano - ECUS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLTT

Colorado Caieiras - ECUS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide