The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Columbus Crew 2 57.2%
Draw 21.5%
Carolina Core 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
23.9%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.4%
25.1%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Columbus Crew 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Columbus Crew 2's performance.
Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew 2 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Columbus Crew 2 - Carolina Core Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
54. Pruter L. (G) 42. Adu-Gyamfi B. 36. Heffess I. 37. Aoki R. 68. Lloyd Z. 84. Forfor P. 73. Munoz J. 40. Chirinos J. 30. Rincon N. 31. Gbamble K. (C) 46. Adams C.
44. Jackson T. (G) 77. Tetteh R. 2. Orbaugh C. 33. Ford B. 27. Czech A. 88. Baer R. (C) 6. Montenegro R. 24. Weber T. 55. Ford G. 20. Raimbault T. 19. Hammond S.
Substitutes
22. Brown T. 71. Danjaji J. 51. De Libera G. 63. Di Noto G. 62. Ewing I. 41. Lapkes S. (G) 33. Nyeman M. 64. Taylor O. 38. Torres A.
23. Aguirre R. 90. Anderson N. (G) 18. Colon D. 58. Diaz D. 8. Lundeen C. 21. Martinez N. 43. Stewart J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Aoki R. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Montenegro R. ⚽, Hammond S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Chirinos J. ⚽, Adams C. (A),
55', Raimbault T. ↓, Lundeen C. ↑,
55', Weber T. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
64', Lloyd Z. 🟥,
70', Chirinos J. ↓, Brown T. ↑,
70', Heffess I. ↓, Di Noto G. ↑,
70', Munoz J. ↓, De Libera G. ↑,
82', Hammond S. ↓, Stewart J. ↑,
82', Czech A. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
86', Adams C. ↓, Danjaji J. ↑,
89', Montenegro R. ↓, Colon D. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Baer R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Adu-Gyamfi B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Diaz D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Danjaji J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lundeen C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Rincon N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Aguirre R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Gbamble K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ford G. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Brown T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro Playoffs1/8~finals) and 14th).
Columbus Crew 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
Recent results have been tough for Columbus Crew 2 (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Carolina Core has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Carolina Core could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Columbus Crew 2 carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew 2 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Columbus Crew 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).