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Current Win Probability
Carolina Core 28.5%
Draw 24.7%
New England Revolution II 46.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
26.3%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
26.7%
40%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
New England Revolution II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution II's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carolina Core, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carolina Core - New England Revolution II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
90. Anderson N. (G) 25. Swinehart B. 77. Tetteh R. 33. Ford B. 27. Czech A. 88. Baer R. (C) 6. Montenegro R. 19. Hammond S. 55. Ford G. 26. Tattevin A. 9. Kaloukian N.
27. Weinstein M. (G) 19. McIntosh D. 15. Shannon J. 6. Dahlin G. (C) 65. Siqueira J. 23. Mussenden J. 35. Oliveira C. 44. Azar L. 77. Wells M. 9. Zambrano M. 21. Morgan M.
Substitutes
14. Balogun K. 58. Diaz D. 4. Evers N. 44. Jackson T. (G) 8. Lundeen C. 50. Ontiveros V. 2. Orbaugh C. 20. Raimbault T. 24. Weber T.
71. Jean Baptiste M. 74. Katsell L. 91. Lapierre Z. (G) 4. Mbai Assem C. 3. Mimy S. 72. Prajapati A. 17. Sasaki S. 2. Smith J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Oliveira C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Tattevin A. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
46', Ford G. ↓, Lundeen C. ↑,
61', McIntosh D. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
63', Czech A. ↓, Raimbault T. ↑,
67', Raimbault T. 🟨,
67', Tetteh R. ↓, Evers N. ↑,
71', Wells M. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Swinehart B. ⚽,
75', Swinehart B. ↓, Orbaugh C. ↑,
76', Swinehart B. 🟨,
78', Baer R. 🟨,
79', Oliveira C. ↓, Prajapati A. ↑,
79', Azar L. ↓, Jean Baptiste M. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Zambrano M. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, Zambrano M. ⚽, Mussenden J. (A),
90+2', 2 - 2, Hammond S. ⚽, Orbaugh C. (A),
90+6', Sasaki S. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Baer R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Zambrano M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Diaz D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Shannon J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kaloukian N. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Mussenden J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Raimbault T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Jean Baptiste M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ford B. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In recent matches, Carolina Core has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
New England II's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
New England II could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carolina Core won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Carolina Core won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).