The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crown Legacy 60.5%
Draw 21%
Carolina Core 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.5%
22.6%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
21.6%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crown Legacy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Crown Legacy - Carolina Core Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Wickham J. A. (G) 94. Smith G. 63. Holt W. 34. Johnson A. 24. Thomas M. 60. Subotic A. 58. Longo D. 89. Mendoza A. 41. Romero B. 91. Smalls M. 83. Mbongue H.
90. Anderson N. (G) 4. Evers N. 77. Tetteh R. 33. Ford B. 27. Czech A. 6. Montenegro R. 19. Hammond S. 88. Baer R. 24. Weber T. 9. Kaloukian N. 55. Ford G.
Substitutes
74. Ayovi M. 77. Barnett T. 32. Blama B. 68. Gonzalez C. 97. Goodwin B. 84. Hodzic A. 53. Philpot J. (G) 80. Rivas L. 79. Ventura S.
44. Jackson T. (G) 8. Lundeen C. 21. Martinez N. 50. Ontiveros V. 2. Orbaugh C. 20. Raimbault T. 43. Stewart J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Romero B. ⚽, Subotic A. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Smalls M. ⚽, Mbongue H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kaloukian N. ↓, Raimbault T. ↑,
46', Evers N. ↓, Orbaugh C. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Raimbault T. ⚽, Weber T. (A),
56', Subotic A. 🟨,
62', Subotic A. ↓, Barnett T. ↑,
62', Montenegro R. ↓, Lundeen C. ↑,
67', Romero B. ↓, Ventura S. ↑,
74', Raimbault T. 🟨,
77', Baer R. 🟨,
79', Ford G. ↓, Stewart J. ↑,
82', Weber T. ↓, Ontiveros V. ↑,
84', Orbaugh C. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Stewart J. ⚽,
90+3', Smalls M. ↓, Blama B. ↑,
90+4', Longo D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Ventura S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Baer R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mbongue H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Lundeen C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Barnett T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Czech A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Blama B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Ford B. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Mendoza A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Orbaugh C. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
Crown Legacy is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crown Legacy won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Crown Legacy is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Crown Legacy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.3:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Crown Legacy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
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Wickham J. A. (G) 
Smith G. 
Johnson A. 
Subotic A. 
Longo D. 
Smalls M. 
Tetteh R. 
Kaloukian N. 
Ayovi M. 
Rivas L. 
Raimbault T. 
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