Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 8

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Colwyn Bay		Chirk AAA

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.2	7.4
	1.09	8.76	17.26
	1.08	8.5	21
	1.07	8	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.3)	7.62 ↑ (4.76)	16.67 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colwyn Bay
82.4%

Draw
12.1%

Chirk AAA
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

18.2%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

16.6%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colwyn Bay's performance.

Chirk AAA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chirk AAA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colwyn Bay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chirk AAA than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chirk AAA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 12).

Colwyn Bay in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Chirk AAA is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Colwyn Bay is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru North
25.02.23	Colwyn Bay - Conwy Borough	5:0 ✺
18.02.23	Mold Alexandra - Colwyn Bay	0:3 ✺
11.02.23	Colwyn Bay - Druids	4:1 ✺
07.02.23	Colwyn Bay - Gresford Athletic	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Chirk AAA - Colwyn Bay	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Chirk AAA
Welsh Cymru North
25.02.23	Chirk AAA - Penrhyncoch	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Porthmadog - Chirk AAA	0:5 ✺
11.02.23	Chirk AAA - Mold Alexandra	3:1 ✺
28.01.23	Chirk AAA - Colwyn Bay	1:2 ✺
14.01.23	Chirk AAA - Conwy Borough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
28.01.23	Chirk AAA - Colwyn Bay	1:2

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