Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday


	Mold Alexandra		Colwyn Bay

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.95
	3.12	3.63	1.93
	3.27	3.87	1.91
	3.37	3.78	1.87
	3.2	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.45)	3.7 ↓ (3.9)	1.92 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mold Alexandra
28.1%

Draw
24.6%

Colwyn Bay
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

23.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

22.4%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mold Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mold Alexandra's form might have worsened.

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colwyn Bay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mold Alexandra than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mold Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colwyn Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mold Alexandra - Colwyn Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Creamer T. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mold Alexandra
Welsh Cymru North
17.08.24	Mold Alexandra - Holywell Town	2:3 ✺
10.08.24	Mold Alexandra - Denbigh Town	2:1 ✺
06.08.24	Bangor 1876 - Mold Alexandra	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Mold Alexandra - Llandudno	3:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
21.07.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Mold Alexandra	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL
- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru North
16.08.24	Llandudno - Colwyn Bay	1:1 ✺
09.08.24	Colwyn Bay - Llay Welfare	1:1 ✺
06.08.24	Colwyn Bay - Holywell Town	2:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
03.08.24	Colwyn Bay - Aberystwyth Town	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
26.07.24	Colwyn Bay - Bangor 1876	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
18.02.23	Mold Alexandra - Colwyn Bay	0:3
29.08.22	Colwyn Bay - Mold Alexandra	4:0

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