Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 6

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)


	Colón		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	6	Watch
	1.63	3.5	5
	1.63	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.7	5.65
	1.66	3.7	5.65
	1.62	3.5	5.5
	1.65	3.45	5.47	Watch
	1.63	3.55	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.03)	3.56 ↑ (2.92)	5.52 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
56.9%

Draw
26.2%

Aldosivi
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

31.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

30.3%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colón's performance.

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldosivi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldosivi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Colón - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: Colón will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vicentini M. (G) 4. Herrera E. 6. Lopes H. 2. Goltz P. 3. Castet F. 5. Prediger S. (C) 7. Talpone N. 8. Jourdan F. 10. Sabella A. 11. Lago I. 9. Rodriguez A.	1. Carranza J. (C) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Soto G. 6. Mottes G. 3. Godoy F. 5. Pineiro G. 8. Esponda M. 7. Guzman N. 9. Colazo A. 11. Lamendola N. 10. Torres E.
Substitutes
18. Delgadillo N. 12. Gimenez T. (G) 15. Greising E. 13. Guille B. 14. Henriquez F. 20. Sandoval T. 16. Taborda F. 17. Toledo J. 19. Vega C.	17. Alonso A. 20. Andrada F. 12. Atamanuk C. (G) 15. Britez E. 18. Enriquez I. 14. Guerrico I. 13. Sills J. 19. Sosa A. 16. Ubeda S.
Coaches
Delfino I.	Yllana A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colón won 1.

Colón in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aldosivi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Colón is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Colón to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Colón won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.03.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Colón	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Colón - Patronato Parana	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Colón - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Colón	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Colón - Defensores Unidos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWTW
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.03.24	Aldosivi - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Aldosivi - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Deportivo Madryn - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Aldosivi - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.07.22	Colón - Aldosivi	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
31.03.22	Colón - Aldosivi	1:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.08.21	Aldosivi - Colón	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.03.21	Colón - Aldosivi	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.12.19	Colón - Aldosivi	0:2
15.03.19	Aldosivi - Colón	3:0
29.08.16	Aldosivi - Colón	0:2

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