Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 13

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto Antonio Candini (Cordoba)

Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto		Colón

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.88	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.23	2.85	3.55	Watch
	2.35	2.8	3.87
	2.33	2.67	3.82	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.6
	2.27	2.7	3.69
	2.23	2.85	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.87)	2.79 ↓ (3.25)	3.64 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
41.1%

Draw
33.3%

Colón
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28.8%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

27.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's form might have worsened.

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Antonini J. 2. Maffini G. (C) 6. Pagliaricci M. 3. Angelini L. 8. Fenoglio V. 5. Cabrera A. 7. Nelle S. 10. Orosco B. 9. Garnerone M. 11. Valiente M.	1. Gimenez T. (G) 4. Sanchez F. 2. Ortiz G. 6. Thaller N. 3. Castet F. 11. Lago I. 5. Forneris A. 10. Bernardi C. 8. Gallay T. 7. Talpone N. 9. Gigliotti E.
Substitutes
15. Alvarez F. 12. Bigo J. (G) 13. Cobos F. 16. Cuello A. 20. Ferreira J. 19. Gonzalez L. 18. Morales A. 17. Tevez M. 14. Vazquez F.	14. Barreto J. 15. Cordoba M. 12. Diaz M. (G) 17. Garrido O. 18. Gimenez A. 20. Negro B. 13. Sonora J. 16. Taborda F. 19. Yunis Z.
Coaches
Delfino I.	Yllana A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Angelini L. ⚽,
44', Nelle S. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
44', Forneris A. 🟨,
45', Cabrera A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Fenoglio V. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Talpone N. ⚽,
59', Pagliaricci M. ↓, Cobos F. ↑,
66', Garnerone M. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
66', Orosco B. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Gonzalez L. ⚽,
71', Thaller N. 🟨,
71', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
71', Ferreira J. 🟨,
72', Talpone N. 🟥,
76', Gallay T. ↓, Sonora J. ↑,
83', Lago I. ↓, Barreto J. ↑,
89', Bernardi C. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
90+6', Vazquez F. 🟨,

Preview

E Río Cuarto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Colón has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

E Río Cuarto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, E Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, E Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.04.25	Temperley - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLWW
- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.04.25	Colón - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Chacarita Juniors - Colón	3:2 ✺
14.04.25	Colón - San Telmo	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Colón	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Colón - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.07.24	Colón - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	3:0
03.03.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Colón	1:2

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