The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colón 39.8%
Draw 30.6%
Huracán Buenos Aires 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
30.4%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
30.1%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colón's performance.
Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huracán Buenos Aires might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colón that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huracán Buenos Aires could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.8%
17.6%
23.5%
Colón - Huracán Buenos Aires Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Huracán will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colón: 35.4% – 82.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Colón has the most likely position - 28 (7.93%), has project points - 30, has currently - 1, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Huracán has the most likely position - 3 (8.2%), has project points - 45, has currently - 10, has a small chance of win league (7%).
This event has quality40, small importance13, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Colón is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Huracán is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Colón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Colón will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Colón: Farias F.
(Injury)
Vega C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Huracán: Ibanez C.
(Injury)
Merolla L.
(Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Colón won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
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