Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo da Bela Vista (Setúbal)


	Comércio e Indústria		Moncarapachense

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.83	2.52
	3.09	3.09	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.09)	2.96 ↑ (2.87)	2.42 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comércio e Indústria
31%

Draw
31%

Moncarapachense
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

31.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

31.6%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comércio e Indústria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Comércio e Indústria - Moncarapachense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Moncarapachense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Comércio Indústria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Comércio Indústria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comércio e Indústria
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Comércio e Indústria - Salgueiros 08	4:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.25	Comércio e Indústria - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Serpa - Comércio e Indústria	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	Comércio e Indústria - Alcochetense	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Oriental - Comércio e Indústria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLTL
- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Moncarapachense - Anadia	1:2 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.25	Moncarapachense - Serpa	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Alcochetense - Moncarapachense	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Moncarapachense - Oriental	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Alverca B - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
12.01.25	Comércio e Indústria - Moncarapachense	0:1
18.08.24	Moncarapachense - Comércio e Indústria	5:2

Comércio e Indústria - Moncarapachense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide