Match Info
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 4Date: 14 September 2025, SundayLocation: Estádio Dr.António Joao Eusebio (Moncarapacho)
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 |
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 |
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Moncarapachense |
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Serpa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
5.28 |
3.60 |
1.61 |
Watch |
 |
2.13 |
3.14 |
3.22 |
|
 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.1 ↑ (1.92) |
3.31 ↑ (3.15) |
2.81 ↓ (3.55) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Moncarapachense 32.9% | Draw 30.8% | Serpa 36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moncarapachense's form might have worsened.Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serpa's recent form is better than expected.Moncarapachense - Serpa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Lukao ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moncarapachense won 0.Moncarapachense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Moncarapachense is seen as the favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Moncarapachense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;