Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 5

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Comercial SP		Barretos

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.78	2.62
	2.74	2.8	2.7
	2.75	2.5	2.63
	2.71	2.71	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.59)	2.7 ↓ (3.05)	2.66 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comercial SP
33%

Draw
33.2%

Barretos
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Barretos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Comercial SP - Barretos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Comercial SP (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Comercial SP (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 0 - 2, ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Comercial SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
14.02.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Comercial SP - Taquaritinga	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Comercial SP - Penapolense	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	ECUS - Comercial SP	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
27.09.25	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Barretos EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
14.02.26	Barretos - Tanabi	0:0 ✺
11.02.26	Barretos - VOCEM	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Lemense FC - Barretos	0:1 ✺
30.01.26	Barretos - Colorado Caieiras	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Barretos - Joseense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
20.07.24	Comercial SP - Barretos	3:3
14.06.24	Barretos - Comercial SP	1:1

Comercial SP - Barretos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide