Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 15

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Barretos		Joseense

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	2.01
	2.94	3.14	2.33	Watch
	3.45	3.18	2.02
	3.4	3.25	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.56)	3.21 ↑ (2.93)	2.09 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barretos
27.7%

Draw
28.5%

Joseense
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

32.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barretos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barretos's form might have worsened.

Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joseense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barretos than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barretos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joseense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barretos - Joseense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Joseense is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Barretos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Joseense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barretos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barretos EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
17.03.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Barretos	3:1 ✺
12.03.25	Barretos - Penapolense	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Barretos - São Caetano	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Matonense - Barretos	2:3 ✺
26.02.25	Barretos - União Barbarense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL
- CA Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
15.03.25	Joseense - Grêmio Osasco Audax	3:0 ✺
12.03.25	Joseense - Araçatuba	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Joseense	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Joseense - Nacional SP	2:2 ✺
26.02.25	Matonense - Joseense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
06.03.24	Joseense - Barretos	2:2

Barretos - Joseense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide