The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Comercial SP 20.1%
Draw 26.1%
São Bento 53.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.4%
26.3%
54.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.5%
26.4%
54%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Comercial SP - São Bento Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Comercial SP is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
São Bento is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match São Bento is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Comercial SP won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Comercial SP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.