Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 6

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Comercial SP		São Bento

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.7
	4.5	3.5	1.7	Watch
	4.53	3.5	1.71
	4.65	3.55	1.72
	4.6	3.5	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↓ (4.68)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comercial SP
20.1%

Draw
26.1%

São Bento
53.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.4%

26.3%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

26.5%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Comercial SP - São Bento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Comercial SP is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

São Bento is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match São Bento is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Comercial SP won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Comercial SP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
31.01.24	EC Noroeste - Comercial SP	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Comercial SP - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
24.01.24	Linense - Comercial SP	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Comercial SP - Rio Claro	2:2 ✺
17.01.24	Capivariano - Comercial SP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLTL
- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
31.01.24	São Bento - Atlético Monte Azul	3:0 ✺
27.01.24	São Bento - Piracicaba	0:2 ✺
24.01.24	Ferroviária - São Bento	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	São Bento - EC Primavera	3:0 ✺
17.01.24	CA Juventus - São Bento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
27.08.23	Comercial SP - São Bento	1:0
22.07.23	São Bento - Comercial SP	0:0

Comercial SP - São Bento

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Comercial SP - São Bento Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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