Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 7

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Ferroviária		São Bento

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.7	6.1	Watch
	1.47	3.88	6.81
	1.48	3.77	6.68	Watch
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.52	3.87	6.54
	1.44	3.7	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)	3.74 ↑ (3.53)	6.41 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
61.4%

Draw
24.4%

São Bento
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

25.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

23.7%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Ferroviária - São Bento Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Gustavo Medina ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Vitor Barreto ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 1.

Ferroviária is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

São Bento has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

São Bento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferroviária is the clear favorite.

We predict that Ferroviária will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.01.26	Santo André - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Taubaté - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Ferroviária - CA Juventus	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWTW
- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.01.26	São Bento - São José-SP	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ituano - São Bento	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	São Bento - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Água Santa - São Bento	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Internacional de Limeira - São Bento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.02.25	São Bento - Ferroviária	0:2
24.01.24	Ferroviária - São Bento	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.02.19	São Bento - Ferroviária	0:0
03.04.17	Ferroviária - São Bento	2:2
06.03.17	Ferroviária - São Bento	0:1
23.03.16	São Bento - Ferroviária	1:0

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