Match Info

Copa Paulista - Round 6

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	EC Noroeste		Comercial SP

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.60	5.00
	1.6	3.35	4.9
	1.61	3.37	5.09
	1.64	3.49	5.22
	1.48	3.5	6.05
	1.69	3.77	4.71
	1.61	3.4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)	3.5 ↓ (3.55)	5.12 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Noroeste
56.4%

Draw
25.9%

Comercial SP
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25.2%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

EC Noroeste - Comercial SP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
55', 2 - 2, ⚽,
66', 3 - 2, ⚽,
81', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 3.

Noroeste is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Noroeste may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Noroeste is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Noroeste won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Comercial SP - the odds 4.31 are the expected chance of winning is 20.78%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Copa Paulista
19.08.26	União São João - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Piracicaba - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	EC Noroeste - União São João	2:2 ✺
18.07.26	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.26	EC Noroeste - Portuguesa RJ	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTTLL
- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Copa Paulista
18.08.26	Comercial SP - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Comercial SP - União São João	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
04.04.26	Comercial SP - Tanabi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
18.07.26	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
31.01.24	EC Noroeste - Comercial SP	1:1
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.23	EC Noroeste - Comercial SP	3:0
30.07.23	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	1:3
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.02.23	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	0:2
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.22	EC Noroeste - Comercial SP	1:0
30.07.22	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	3:3

EC Noroeste - Comercial SP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide