Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 11

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday


	Comercial Tietê U20		Flamengo de Guarulhos U20

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.68	3.1	2.4
	2.61	3.04	2.46
				Watch
	2.66	3.22	2.36
	2.82	3.1	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.84)	3.11 ↓ (3.11)	2.35 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comercial Tietê U20
33%

Draw
28.8%

Flamengo de Guarulhos U20
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.9%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

29.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial Tietê U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial Tietê U20 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Comercial Tietê U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Rhaul ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Bamba A. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Bamba A. ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, Mesquita H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 3 - 2, Wanderson F. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial Tietê U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.25	São Paulo U20 - Comercial Tietê U20	3:2 ✺
27.06.25	Comercial Tietê U20 - Grêmio Prudente U20	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Guarani U20 - Comercial Tietê U20	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Comercial Tietê U20 - Osasco Sporting U20	3:1 ✺
30.05.25	Comercial Tietê U20 - Piracicaba U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWW
- Flamengo de Guarulhos U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.25	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Mauá U20	1:1 ✺
27.06.25	Capivariano U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	3:0 ✺
22.06.25	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Guaratinguetá U20	1:0 ✺
06.06.25	Piracicaba U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - CA Bandeirante U20	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWWL

Comercial Tietê U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide