Match Info

Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Max Augustin (Iquitos) 🌤️ ...


	Comerciantes Belén		ADA Jaén

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.00	3.50
	1.95	3	3.55
	2.03	2.97	3.53
	2.04	3.23	3.72
	2.02	2.8	3.6
	1.92	3.31	3.88
	2.04	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.83)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Belén
45.3%

Draw
29.5%

ADA Jaén
25.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.5%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ADA Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Comerciantes Belén - ADA Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva L. (G) 28. Acosta A. 30. Arakaki H. 6. Arevalo F. 15. Guerrero Fonseca R. M. 20. Labrin P. 10. Lemos M. 2. Leon B. 29. Perlaza V. 5. Pinedo D. 33. Valdeblanquez J.	88. Franco E. (G) 22. Acevedo G. 13. Cano L. 37. Maciel E. 30. Marina J. 17. Matzuda M. 9. Rodriguez F. 19. Ruiz H. 33. Tecilla N. 5. Vidal A. 26. Yllescas J.
Substitutes
7. Bazan J. 25. Gonzales Cainamari F. J. 19. Ramua A. 27. Reategui P. 21. Rivas A. 24. Rojas Ihuaraqui P. N. 48. Saravia F. (G) 17. Vela P. 9. Zambrano J.	36. Beltran A. 1. Caytuiro F. (G) 18. Figueroa N. 24. Raffo R. 15. Ratto P. 14. Rivera J. 6. Sanchez A. 20. Tuesta J. 3. Villalta B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Vidal A. 🟨,
16', Acosta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Marina J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
46', Yllescas J. ↓, Beltran A. ↑,
46', Labrin P. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
46', Acosta A. ↓, Vela P. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Ruiz H. ⚽,
59', Ruiz H. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
76', Ramua A. 🟨,
78', Matzuda M. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑,
78', Lemos M. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
78', Perlaza V. ↓, Gonzales Cainamari F. J. ↑,
86', Silva L. 🟨,
88', 0 - 2, Ratto P. ⚽,
90+4', Sanchez A. 🟨,

Preview

Comerciantes has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

ADA is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Comerciantes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Comerciantes carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Comerciantes has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Comerciantes against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
25.09.26	Comerciantes Belén - Sport Huancayo 2	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Comerciantes Belén - Ayacucho	5:1 ✺
29.08.26	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Comerciantes Belén - Unión Minas	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Estudiantil CNI - Comerciantes Belén	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLTT
- ADA Jaén
Peruvian Liga 2
07.10.26	Sport Huancayo 2 - ADA Jaén	0:1 ✺
25.09.26	ADA Jaén - Deportivo Llacuabamba	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Universidad César Vallejo - ADA Jaén	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Universidad San Martín - ADA Jaén	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
30.08.25	ADA Jaén - Comerciantes Belén	2:2
26.07.25	Comerciantes Belén - ADA Jaén	1:1

Upcoming Matches