Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 22 August 2023, Tuesday


	Comerciantes Belén		Deportivo Llacuabamba

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3
	1.92	3	4
	2.09	2.6	3.46
	2.05	3.25	3.2
	1.99	3.48	3.38
	2.13	3.05	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.94)	3.13 ↓ (3.23)	3.39 (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Belén
44.5%

Draw
28.9%

Deportivo Llacuabamba
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

27.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Deportivo Llacuabamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	36.4%	27.3%

Comerciantes Belén - Deportivo Llacuabamba Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Comerciantes will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Llacuabamba will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Comerciantes: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vasquez E. (G) 28. Chipao R. 29. Correa R. 19. Dominguez J. 26. Guevara R. 31. Navarro J. 8. Pinedo B. 23. Reategui P. 13. Valdeblanquez J. 17. Vela P. 9. Zambrano J.	30. Rebora E. (G) 22. Acevedo G. (C) 12. Chavez R. 14. Gallardo J. 10. Garcia L. 26. Gonzales D. 6. Hidalgo A. 23. Jimenez C. 16. Juarez D. 13. Vasquez J. 5. Vega J.
Substitutes
33. Anaya R. 11. Cenepo G. 20. Correa G. 6. Davila I. 5. Hoyos H. 16. Romero L. 21. Sanchez K. (G)	8. Casique P. 7. Gallardo M. 33. Garcia J. 3. Otiniano B. 18. Palomino M. 98. Ratto P. 1. Rojas S. (G)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Comerciantes is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Comerciantes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
15.08.23	Santos - Comerciantes Belén	0:0 ✺
10.08.23	Comerciantes Belén - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Comerciantes Belén - Carlos Stein	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLTL
- Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peruvian Liga 2
17.08.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:2 ✺
09.08.23	Los Chankas - Deportivo Llacuabamba	5:0 ✺
03.08.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1 ✺
29.07.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Juan Aurich	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Belén	2:1

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