Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Compostela		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	2.9
	2.6	2.6	2.95
	2.77	2.55	3.09
	2.62	2.72	2.97
	2.43	2.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.4)	2.7 ↓ (2.8)	2.97 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
35.7%

Draw
33.7%

Arenteiro
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

33%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

33.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Compostela - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Compostela won 2.

Recent matches Compostela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arenteiro in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Compostela won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Compostela won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.03.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Compostela - Bergantiños	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Coruxo - Compostela	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Compostela - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Guijuelo - Compostela	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTLTW
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.03.23	Arenteiro - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Rayo Cantabria - Arenteiro	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Arenteiro - Laredo	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Valladolid B - Arenteiro	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Arenteiro - Palencia CA	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.11.22	Arenteiro - Compostela	0:1
27.02.22	Compostela - Arenteiro	0:0
10.10.21	Arenteiro - Compostela	1:1
Club Friendly
26.09.20	Arenteiro - Compostela	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.01.20	Compostela - Arenteiro	3:0
18.04.19	Compostela - Arenteiro	3:0

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