Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Compostela		Polvorín

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.54	3.85	5.4
	1.54	3.92	5.79
	1.55	3.76	5.7
	1.54	3.8	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)	3.82 ↑ (3.3)	5.46 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
59.3%

Draw
23.9%

Polvorín
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

27.5%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

25.8%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polvorín's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Compostela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polvorín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Compostela - Polvorín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Compostela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Polvorín is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Polvorín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Compostela is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Compostela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Compostela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.02.23	Guijuelo - Compostela	2:3 ✺
18.02.23	Compostela - Zamora	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Langreo - Compostela	0:3 ✺
05.02.23	Compostela - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Burgos Promesas - Compostela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWWL
- Polvorín FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.02.23	Polvorín - Marino de Luanco	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Rayo Cantabria - Polvorín	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Polvorín - Laredo	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Valladolid B - Polvorín	5:4 ✺
28.01.23	Polvorín - Palencia CA	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.10.22	Polvorín - Compostela	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.03.20	Polvorín - Compostela	2:0
20.01.19	Polvorín - Compostela	1:1
26.08.18	Compostela - Polvorín	2:0

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