Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday


	Gimnástica de Torrelavega		Compostela

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.95	2.6
	2.55	3.1	2.6
	2.77	3.05	2.57
	2.59	3.03	2.69	Watch
	2.7	3.05	2.55
	2.55	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.16)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	2.6 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
35%

Draw
30%

Compostela
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.9%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

28%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástica de Torrelavega's performance.

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Compostela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástica de Torrelavega that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Compostela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Primo ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Ruiz C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', Casas A. 🟥,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Recent matches Torrelavega is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Compostela is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Torrelavega could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Torrelavega won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Torrelavega won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.12.24	Valladolid B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:3 ✺
24.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Numancia	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Laredo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TLWWL
- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.24	Compostela - Laredo	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Salamanca - Compostela	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Compostela - Llanera	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.11.24	CD Extremadura - Compostela	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.24	Bergantiños - Compostela	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.03.24	Compostela - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1
22.10.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela	3:4
26.03.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela	1:1
05.11.22	Compostela - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:0

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