Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Compostela		Escobedo

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.33
	1.68	3.35	4.8
	1.74	3.36	5.04
	1.68	3.5	4.96
	1.68	3.35	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.12)	3.36 ↑ (2.9)	4.79 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
53.7%

Draw
27.2%

Escobedo
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Compostela's performance.

Escobedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escobedo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Compostela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Escobedo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Compostela - Escobedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Fontan E. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Sazatronil M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 2, Barreiro M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Copa Federacion
03.10.24	Lealtad - Compostela	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.09.24	Marino de Luanco - Compostela	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Vimenor - Compostela	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.09.24	Compostela - Langreo	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Compostela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWLL
- UM Escobedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.09.24	Escobedo - Valladolid B	1:4 ✺
22.09.24	Real Ávila - Escobedo	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Escobedo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Laredo - Escobedo	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Escobedo - Salamanca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTLT

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