Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Llanera		Compostela

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.87	2.75
	2.43	2.9	2.9
	2.44	2.89	3.01	Watch
	2.42	2.9	3.08
	2.43	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.15)	2.89 ↓ (3.05)	2.93 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanera
37.5%

Draw
31.4%

Compostela
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llanera's form might have worsened.

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llanera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Llanera - Compostela Predictions

Users Predictions: Llanera will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 1 - 0, Tommy ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, Cano F. ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Llanera is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Compostela has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Llanera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Llanera to win the game is with odds 2.59.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Llanera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Llanera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Llanera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.03.25	Valladolid B - Llanera	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Llanera - Real Ávila	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Llanera	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Llanera - Laredo	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Salamanca - Llanera	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WTTWW
- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.03.25	Compostela - Bergantiños	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Compostela - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Coruxo - Compostela	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Compostela - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Guijuelo - Compostela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.11.24	Compostela - Llanera	1:0
12.03.22	Compostela - Llanera	0:1
23.10.21	Llanera - Compostela	1:2

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