Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday


	Compostela		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.84	1.63
	4.75	3.94	1.61	Watch
	4.9	3.9	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (3.45)	3.89 ↑ (3.59)	1.62 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
19.4%

Draw
23.7%

Leonesa
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

25.7%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

25.1%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Compostela's form might have worsened.

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Compostela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Compostela - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Compostela won 1.

Compostela has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leonesa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leonesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Compostela have a series of home games.

Recently Leonesa have a series of guest games.

Leonesa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Compostela won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Compostela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Compostela - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
10.08.23	Compostela - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
08.08.23	Compostela - Celta de Vigo	0:3 ✺
05.08.23	Lugo - Compostela	1:1 ✺
02.08.23	Compostela - Celta de Vigo B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
02.08.23	Bembibre - Leonesa	1:5 ✺
29.07.23	Calahorra - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
26.07.23	Burgos - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	La Virgen del Camino - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.02.16	Leonesa - Compostela	1:1
10.10.15	Compostela - Leonesa	0:0
18.01.15	Compostela - Leonesa	0:2
31.08.14	Leonesa - Compostela	1:0
16.02.14	Compostela - Leonesa	3:0
06.10.13	Leonesa - Compostela	N/A

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