Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Compostela		Llanera

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.75
	1.61	3.6	4.9
	1.67	3.45	5.07
	1.64	3.52	5.14	Watch
	1.63	3.66	5.09
	1.61	3.6	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.94)	3.54 ↑ (3.2)	4.98 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
55.9%

Draw
25.8%

Llanera
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

28.3%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Compostela's performance.

Llanera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llanera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Compostela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Compostela - Llanera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Soto D. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Compostela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Compostela is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Compostela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Compostela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.11.24	CD Extremadura - Compostela	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.24	Bergantiños - Compostela	0:4 ✺
03.11.24	Compostela - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Compostela - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Real Avilés - Compostela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWLT
- UD Llanera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.24	Llanera - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Real Ávila - Llanera	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Llanera - Leonesa	0:2 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Llanera - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Laredo - Llanera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.03.22	Compostela - Llanera	0:1
23.10.21	Llanera - Compostela	1:2

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