Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Vero Boquete de San Lázaro (Santiago de Compostela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV6
Spain	M+ LaLiga 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Compostela		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.45
	7.25	4.33	1.46
	7.5	4	1.44	Watch
	7.94	4.05	1.46
	7.3	4	1.43	Watch
	8	4.5	1.33	Watch
	8.2	4.75	1.39	Watch
	7.5	4	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.65 ↑ (7.17)	4.23 ↑ (4.15)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
12.2%

Draw
22.1%

Deportivo Alavés
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

22.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

12.8%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Compostela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-28.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	15.4%	61.5%

Compostela - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Compostela will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Alavés will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dominguez I. (G) 2. Gonzalez R. 6. Soto D. 4. Casas A. (C) 3. Rivas M. 24. Cano F. 8. Gonzalez D. 15. Vidal K. 12. Ocana J. 9. Barreiro M. 10. Matos H.	13. Owono J. (G) 12. Mourino S. 36. Pica A. 22. Diarra M. 27. Munoz Larrea E. 24. Joan Jordan 6. Guevara A. (C) 20. Romero L. 19. Stoichkov 10. Conechny T. 9. Villalibre A.
Substitutes
11. Bertino G. 7. Cinta C. 5. Crespo P. 22. De Prado S. 20. Gil O. 17. Landeira G. 1. Rabanillo J. (G) 14. Rodriguez S. 27. Salamo J. 18. Selasi R. 16. Trasancos X.	23. Benavidez C. 8. Blanco A. 17. Garcia K. 18. Guridi J. 15. Martin C. 11. Martinez T. 21. Rebbach A. 3. Sanchez M. 4. Sedlar A. 1. Sivera A. (G) 14. Tenaglia N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Vidal K. (Own goal),
30', Matos H. ↓, Landeira G. ↑,
45', Owono J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guevara A. ↓, Benavidez C. ↑,
47', Mourino S. 🟨,
58', Gonzalez R. ↓, De Prado S. ↑,
58', Casas A. ↓, Selasi R. ↑,
62', Landeira G. 🟨,
66', Villalibre A. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
67', Conechny T. ↓, Rebbach A. ↑,
70', Romero L. 🟨,
73', Gonzalez D. ↓, Cinta C. ↑,
73', Cano F. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
79', Romero L. ↓, Blanco A. ↑,
86', Stoichkov ↓, Martin C. ↑,

Preview

Compostela is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alavés has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Compostela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alavés is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Real Avilés - Compostela	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Compostela - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
16.10.24	Compostela - Poblense	3:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.10.24	Rayo Cantabria - Compostela	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.10.24	Sestao - Compostela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWWLW
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.24	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	2:3 ✺
06.10.24	Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	Getafe - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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