Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Langreo		Compostela

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.65	2.55
	2.8	2.8	2.55
	2.81	2.83	2.76
	2.76	2.88	2.64
	2.74	2.99	2.71
	2.8	2.8	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.3)	2.83 ↓ (2.86)	2.63 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Langreo
32.8%

Draw
32.4%

Compostela
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

32%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

25.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Langreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Langreo's form might have worsened.

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Compostela's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Langreo - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, De Prado S. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Brene I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Langreo won 4.

Recent matches Langreo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Compostela is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Langreo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Langreo have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Langreo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:9 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Langreo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.01.25	Valladolid B - Langreo	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Langreo - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Langreo	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.25	Sporting de Gijón - Langreo	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.12.24	Laredo - Langreo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLT
- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.01.25	Pontevedra - Compostela	4:1 ✺
12.01.25	Compostela - Numancia	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Valladolid B - Compostela	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Compostela - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.09.24	Compostela - Langreo	0:2
17.03.24	Compostela - Langreo	0:1
05.11.23	Langreo - Compostela	1:0
11.02.23	Langreo - Compostela	0:3
25.09.22	Compostela - Langreo	0:1
30.04.22	Langreo - Compostela	2:1
12.12.21	Compostela - Langreo	1:0

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