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Current Win Probability
Comunicaciones 42.8%
Draw 31.9%
Acassuso 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
28.2%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
28.4%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comunicaciones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comunicaciones's form might have worsened.
Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comunicaciones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
1. Otarola F. (G) 4. Jaque G. 2. Chimino C. 6. Mattia F. 3. Di Lena F. 8. Carruega S. 5. Friesel T. 10. Ibanez J. 11. Maguicha D. 7. Diaz I. 9. Barroso J.
1. Dominguez J. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Serrizuela J. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 8. De Stefano D. 5. Robles E. 10. Raccio J. 11. Scacchi S. 7. Mino B. 9. Habib T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Escalante D. 🟨,
39', Escalante D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Jaque G. 🟨,
56', Friesel T. ↓, Ruiz N. ↑,
57', Jaque G. ↓, Villafane G. ↑,
69', Barroso J. ↓, Britez L. ↑,
69', Maguicha D. ↓, Rozic T. ↑,
71', Ruiz N. 🟨,
74', Scacchi S. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
77', Carruega S. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
80', Estefano D. ↓, Santaliz T. ↑,
84', Mino B. 🟨,
86', Villafane G. 🟨,
89', Mino B. ↓, Penalva V. ↑,
89', Habib T. ↓, Raccio J. ↑,
90+1', Tursi F. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comunicaciones won 1.
Comunicaciones is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Acassuso is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Comunicaciones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Comunicaciones is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Comunicaciones won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Comunicaciones won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).