Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 13

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo da Bela Vista (Setúbal)


	Comércio e Indústria		Alverca B

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.1
	2.98	3	2.22
	3.05	2.96	2.34	Watch
	3	2.9	2.25
	3.21	3.04	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.55)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	2.22 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comércio e Indústria
29.2%

Draw
30.2%

Alverca B
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

28.7%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

26.8%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comércio e Indústria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Alverca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comércio e Indústria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alverca B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Comércio e Indústria - Alverca B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Comércio Indústria is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alverca B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alverca B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Alverca B will win today's game, with odds of 2.02.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comércio e Indústria
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.12.25	Elvas - Comércio e Indústria	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Comércio e Indústria - Juventude de Évora	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.25	Santa Clara - Comércio e Indústria	3:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.11.25	Louletano - Comércio e Indústria	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Comércio e Indústria - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.12.25	Alverca B - Serpa	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Alcochetense - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Alverca B - Oriental	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Lagoa - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Elvas - Alverca B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWLW

Comércio e Indústria - Alverca B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide