Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)


	Alverca B		Serpa

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.92	2.78
	2.47	2.9	2.82
	2.49	2.92	2.87	Watch
	2.4	3	2.7
	2.43	2.92	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.32)	2.93 ↓ (3.2)	2.79 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca B
36.9%

Draw
30.8%

Serpa
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.8%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Alverca B - Serpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 4).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.25	Alcochetense - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Alverca B - Oriental	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Lagoa - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Elvas - Alverca B	2:3 ✺
26.10.25	Alverca B - Juventude de Évora	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWL
- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.25	Serpa - Elvas	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Juventude de Évora - Serpa	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Serpa - Louletano	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sintrense - Serpa	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Serpa - Portimonense B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTTW

Alverca B - Serpa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide