Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Capitao Josino da Costa (Lagoa)


	Lagoa		Alverca B

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.78
	2.41	2.92	2.88
	2.42	2.99	2.89	Watch
	2.38	3.02	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.17)	2.98 ↓ (3.3)	2.83 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagoa
37.8%

Draw
30.3%

Alverca B
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.4%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

26.9%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Alverca B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Lagoa - Alverca B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lagoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lagoa could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.11.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Lagoa	0:4 ✺
25.10.25	Lagoa - Elvas	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Moncarapachense - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lagoa - Juventude de Évora	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Comércio e Indústria - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTTT
- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.11.25	Elvas - Alverca B	2:3 ✺
26.10.25	Alverca B - Juventude de Évora	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Louletano - Alverca B	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Alverca B - Sintrense	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Portimonense B - Alverca B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLTTW

Lagoa - Alverca B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide