Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 7

Date: 6 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Domingos Machado De Lima (Concórdia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fanatiz


	Concórdia		Caravaggio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.16	2.85	3.35
	2.25	2.89	3.42
	2.2	2.96	3.38	Watch
	2.22	2.98	3.38
	2.16	2.85	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.31)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)	3.38 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concórdia
41.9%

Draw
31.2%

Caravaggio
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

30.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

30.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concórdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Concórdia - Caravaggio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alexandre Villa (G) 11. Eli Junior 3. Felipe Siedekum 5. Foguinho 2. Gabriel Biteco 8. Indio 9. Kerlly 6. Patryck Annes 10. Pericles 4. Rafael Augusto (C) 7. Wesley	1. Arthur Vellasque (G) 11. Fernando Portel 9. Genesis 7. Henik 8. Henrique Freitas 5. Jesse Costa 6. Padilha 4. Pavani 2. Rafael Compri 10. Renan 3. Vinicius Barcellos
Substitutes
23. Caio Mores 19. Felipe Rangel 13. Gustavo Brandao 15. Kenzo 21. Lipe Lenger 16. Luan 22. Matheus Baseggio 14. Pedro Cella 17. Pedro M. 12. Rodrigo Lucas (G) 18. Wilgner 20. William	18. Arthur Augusto 19. Elyson 21. Gabriel Henrique 20. Juninho 24. Niccolas (G) 12. Pedro Portelli (G) 17. Ricardo 16. Ruan 22. Thauan 15. Tiago Coelho 14. Wilian Carvalho 13. Ze Neto

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Pericles ⚽,
31', Wesley ↓, Lipe Lenger ↑,
33', Alexandre Villa 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Padilha (Own goal),
37', Vinicius Barcellos ↓, Gabriel Henrique ↑,
45+2', Gabriel Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Eli Junior 🟨,
59', Padilha ↓, Arthur Augusto ↑,
59', Genesis ↓, Elyson ↑,
64', Eli Junior ↓, Felipe Rangel ↑,
64', Kerlly ↓, Wilgner ↑,
72', Pericles ↓, Kenzo ↑,
72', Patryck Annes ↓, Matheus Baseggio ↑,
79', Rafael Compri 🟨,
80', Henrique Freitas ↓, Juninho ↑,
82', Lipe Lenger 🟨,
88', Fernando Portel 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).

Concórdia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Caravaggio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Concórdia have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concórdia AC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.02.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Concórdia	0:0 ✺
29.01.25	Figueirense - Concórdia	4:1 ✺
26.01.25	Concórdia - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Joinville - Concórdia	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Criciúma - Concórdia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWLL
- Caravaggio FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.02.25	Caravaggio - Hercílio Luz	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Brusque - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caravaggio	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Caravaggio - Avaí	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Santa Catarina - Caravaggio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLTTL

Concórdia - Caravaggio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide