Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 4

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play
World	Fanatiz


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		Caravaggio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.3	5.5
	1.63	3.49	5.39
	1.58	3.54	5.79	Watch
	1.59	3.46	6.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.43)	3.45 ↓ (3.95)	5.69 ↓ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
57.4%

Draw
26.5%

Caravaggio
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

23.1%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náutico Marcílio Dias's form might have worsened.

Caravaggio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caravaggio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erivelton (G) 10. Brendon Sobral 5. Felipe Baiano 2. Felipe Santos 11. Geovany Soares 6. Gerson 9. Gustavo Poffo 7. Levi 8. Marquinhos 4. Milani 3. Silvio (C)	1. Arthur Vellasque (G) 6. Arthur Augusto 7. Gabriel Henrique 9. Genesis 5. Henik (C) 8. Henrique Freitas 10. Lucas Matheus 4. Pavani 2. Rafael Compri 11. Renan 3. Vinicius Barcellos
Substitutes
12. Anderson (G) 16. Bonassa 22. Danilo Nazare 18. Denner 24. Dudu 15. Felipe Manoel 19. Gustavo Modesto 17. Italo Magnata 21. Jeffinho 20. Juninho Tardelli 14. Luan 13. Lucas Costa	20. Alessandro Lucas 22. Elyson 17. Fernando Portel 21. Juninho 18. Kaue Silva 19. Mateus Goiano 12. Niccolas (G) 24. Pedro Portelli (G) 13. Ricardo 16. Ruan 15. Tiago Coelho 14. Wilian Carvalho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Henik 🟨,
21', Felipe Baiano 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Geovany Soares ⚽,
39', Henrique Freitas 🟨,
45+1', Gustavo Poffo 🟨,
45+2', Renan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Henrique Freitas ↓, Fernando Portel ↑,
63', Brendon Sobral ↓, Juninho Tardelli ↑,
67', Lucas Matheus ↓, Kaue Silva ↑,
67', Gabriel Henrique ↓, Elyson ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Henik ⚽,
71', Geovany Soares ↓, Italo Magnata ↑,
71', Gustavo Poffo ↓, Gustavo Modesto ↑,
73', Arthur Augusto 🟨,
74', Genesis 🟨,
76', Genesis ↓, Ruan ↑,
81', Renan ↓, Juninho ↑,
81', Felipe Baiano ↓, Denner ↑,
81', Marquinhos ↓, Danilo Nazare ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
23.01.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Hercílio Luz	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Chapecoense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
15.01.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
16.11.24	Concórdia - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
12.11.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Concórdia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLT
- Caravaggio FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.01.25	Caravaggio - Avaí	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Santa Catarina - Caravaggio	3:1 ✺
15.01.25	Caravaggio - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
25.08.24	Santa Catarina - Caravaggio	1:2 penalties ✺
17.08.24	Caravaggio - Santa Catarina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLTWT

Upcoming Matches