Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 27

Date: 3 April 2023, Monday

Location: Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau)


	Concarneau		Sedan

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.3	4.75
	1.67	3.35	4.7
	1.68	3.65	5.49
	1.65	3.25	5
	1.7	3.54	4.9	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.93)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)	4.91 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
54.6%

Draw
26.8%

Sedan
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Concarneau's performance.

Sedan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sedan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Concarneau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sedan than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sedan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	28.6%	7.1%

Concarneau - Sedan Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Concarneau will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Sedan will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Concarneau: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 3.

Recent matches Concarneau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sedan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Concarneau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Concarneau is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Concarneau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
28.03.23	Nancy - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
24.03.23	Villefranche - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
17.03.23	Concarneau - Stade Briochin	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	Châteauroux - Concarneau	4:2 ✺
03.03.23	Concarneau - Cholet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTWLW
- Sedan
French Ligue 3
24.03.23	Sedan - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
17.03.23	Orleans - Sedan	2:2 ✺
10.03.23	Sedan - Bourg-Péronnas	0:0 ✺
03.03.23	Le Puy - Sedan	3:2 ✺
24.02.23	Sedan - Martigues	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
04.11.22	Sedan - Concarneau	1:3
11.04.22	Sedan - Concarneau	2:2
08.11.21	Concarneau - Sedan	1:1
03.02.17	Sedan - Concarneau	0:2
12.08.16	Concarneau - Sedan	3:0

Concarneau - Sedan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide