The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Châteauroux 35.5%
Draw 30%
Concarneau 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
29.8%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
29%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
60%
0%
Châteauroux - Concarneau Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Lavallee L. (G) 27. Boussaid W. 21. Chahid Y. 8. Dembele S. 4. Diarra D. (C) 23. Djaha A. 10. Freitas R. 24. Goncalves A. 28. Mopila S. 9. Mupemba N. 5. Wade P.
1. Viot V. (G) 21. Baldoni S. 18. Da Silva F. 5. Etcheverria B. 27. Halby J. 4. Jannez G. (C) 20. Ntumi M. 8. Picouleau M. 6. Seba D. 26. Sinquin T. 11. Soukouna Y.
Substitutes
30. Ba M. (G) 20. Bouaoune I. 12. Koembo J. 26. Sako B. 14. Verdier Y.
10. Gbelle G. 3. Inquel S. 40. Patron P. (G) 25. Seydi A. 9. Tell J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Wade P. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Soukouna Y. ⚽, Baldoni S. (A),
18', Mopila S. 🟨,
24', 2 - 1, Mupemba N. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Chahid Y. 🟨,
45+1', Lavallee L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Picouleau M. ↓, Gbelle G. ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Mupemba N. ⚽, Dembele S. (A),
60', Goncalves A. 🟨,
61', Etcheverria B. ↓, Inquel S. ↑,
67', Da Silva F. ↓, Seydi A. ↑,
67', Ntumi M. ↓, Tell J. ↑,
78', Wade P. ↓, Bouaoune I. ↑,
83', Djaha A. ↓, Koembo J. ↑,
90+1', Boussaid W. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
90+2', Mupemba N. ↓, Sako B. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 2.
Châteauroux has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Concarneau is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Concarneau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Châteauroux won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
France
World
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Lavallee L. (G) 
Djaha A. 
Mopila S. 
Bouaoune I. 
Sako B. 
Tell J. 
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