Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 27

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Concordia Elbląg		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	1.98
	2.94	3.88	2
	2.91	3.88	1.98
	3.38	3.55	1.99	Watch
	2.67	3.55	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	2.03 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concordia Elbląg
30.5%

Draw
24.8%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.9%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concordia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concordia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Concordia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 1 - 0, Sionkowski K. ⚽,
76', 🟥,
84', 1 - 1, Niesluchowski M. ⚽,
86', 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concordia won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Concordia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Concordia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concordia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.04.24	Mławianka Mława - Concordia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Concordia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Concordia Elbląg - Broń Radom	5:0 ✺
30.03.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Concordia Elbląg	8:0 ✺
23.03.24	Concordia Elbląg - Legia II	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWLT
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.04.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
07.04.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Legia II	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.09.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	6:0
13.05.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	2:0
08.10.22	Concordia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:0
08.08.20	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	5:1
14.09.19	Concordia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:0
12.08.16	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	2:0
Polish Division 2 - East
23.03.14	Concordia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0

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