Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 25

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Concordia Elbląg		Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.5	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.95)	3.5 (3.5)	2.15 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concordia Elbląg
32.4%

Draw
25.7%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.9%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concordia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concordia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Pienkowski M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Staniak M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concordia won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Concordia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Concordia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Concordia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concordia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.04.24	Concordia Elbląg - Broń Radom	5:0 ✺
30.03.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Concordia Elbląg	8:0 ✺
23.03.24	Concordia Elbląg - Legia II	3:3 ✺
16.03.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Concordia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Concordia Elbląg - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLTLT
- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.04.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Broń Radom - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	3:2 ✺
17.03.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.09.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	4:1
15.04.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	1:0
10.09.22	Concordia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3
03.04.21	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	2:1
21.11.20	Concordia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:0
24.11.19	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	2:0
03.08.19	Concordia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:0

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