Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 3

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Atlético Municipal de Concón (Concón)


	Concón National		Real San Joaquín

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.1	4.23
	1.6	4.35	4.32	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.2
	1.69	3.98	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.48)	4.03 ↓ (4.2)	4.29 ↓ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Concón National
56%

Draw
22.7%

Real San Joaquín
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

21.8%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concón National has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concón National's form might have worsened.

Real San Joaquín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Concón National - Real San Joaquín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuentes C. (G) 8. Alvarez B. 20. Bravo B. 21. Cerda A. 16. Cubillos F. 6. Demateis V. 17. Fuentes B. 22. Gattas R. 5. Santelices G. 9. Vargas L. 3. Velasquez M.	1. Castellano V. (G) 24. Abruzzese R. 4. Benavente A. 22. Carreno J. 5. Escalona Armijo M. 11. Farias I. 3. Mancilla N. 9. Marcotti L. 6. Munoz I. (C) 2. Navarrete D. 7. Rojas N.
Substitutes
14. Beltran M. 11. Bustos G. . Carcamo 12. Pizarro P. (G) 7. Plaza J. 10. Ragusa F. 23. Vega C.	30. Contreras P. . Fica J. 13. Gonzalez B. 17. Leger L. 18. Marquez B. 19. Reyes F. 31. Saul A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Abbruzzese R. ⚽,
28', Rojas N. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Santelices G. ⚽,
43', Fuentes C. 🟥,
45', Bravo B. ↓, Pizarro P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Farias I. 🟨,
59', Cubillos F. 🟨,
64', Vargas L. ↓, Ragusa F. ↑,
64', Gattas R. ↓, Plaza J. ↑,
72', Alvarez B. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Carreno J. ⚽,
76', Rojas N. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
76', Marcotti L. ↓, Contreras P. ↑,
78', Castellano V. 🟨,
78', Cubillos F. ↓, Bustos G. ↑,
78', Alvarez B. ↓, Vega C. ↑,
81', 🟨,
89', Carreno J. ↓, Leger L. ↑,
89', Farias I. ↓, Marquez B. ↑,

Preview

Real San Joaquín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Concón National is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Concón National won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Concón National won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Concon National	6	3	0	3	7:8	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concón National
Chilean Segunda Division
04.04.26	Provincial Ovalle - Concón National	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Concón National - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Real San Joaquín - Concón National	0:4 ✺
22.11.25	Concón National - Deportes Rengo	6:0 ✺
10.11.25	San Antonio Unido - Concón National	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWWW
- Real San Joaquín
Chilean Segunda Division
22.03.26	Real San Joaquín - Santiago City	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Real San Joaquín - Concón National	0:4 ✺
23.11.25	Deportes Melipilla - Real San Joaquín	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	General Velásquez - Real San Joaquín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
30.11.25	Real San Joaquín - Concón National	0:4
20.06.25	Concón National - Real San Joaquín	3:1
11.08.24	Real San Joaquín - Concón National	1:1
30.03.24	Concón National - Real San Joaquín	0:2

Upcoming Matches