Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 10

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín (Santiago de Chile)


	Real San Joaquín		Concón National

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.20	2.20
	3.20	3.15	1.98
	2.99	3.26	2.27
	2.95	3.27	2.26	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.2
	3.01	3.18	2.2
	3.6	3.45	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.6)	3.2 ↓ (3.45)	2.14 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real San Joaquín
29.4%

Draw
28.3%

Concón National
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

26.4%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

26.5%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real San Joaquín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Concón National has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concón National might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concón National than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concón National could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real San Joaquín - Concón National Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Fuentes C. (G)
	8. Alvarez B.
	20. Bravo B.
	21. Cerda A.
	16. Cubillos F.
	4. Fuentes B.
	22. Gattas R.
	10. Ragusa F.
	5. Santelices G.
	9. Vargas L.
	3. Velasquez M.
Substitutes
	17. Araya K.
	14. Beltran M.
	11. Bustos G.
	24. Carcamo M.
	12. Pizarro P. (G)
	7. Plaza J.
	23. Vega C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Cerda A. ⚽,
41', Cerda A. 🟨,
45+1', Munoz I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+1', Carcamo M. 🟥,

Preview

Recent performances by Real San Joaquín have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Concón National is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Concón National might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real San Joaquín won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Real San Joaquín won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Concon National	6	3	0	3	7:8	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real San Joaquín
Chilean Segunda Division
25.05.26	Santiago City - Real San Joaquín	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Real San Joaquín - Atlético Colina	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Trasandino de Los Andes - Real San Joaquín	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Real San Joaquín - Brujas Salamanca	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLTTW
- Concón National
Chilean Segunda Division
30.05.26	Concón National - Provincial Ovalle	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Trasandino de Los Andes - Concón National	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Santiago City - Concón National	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Concón National - Brujas Salamanca	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Atlético Colina - Concón National	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
11.04.26	Concón National - Real San Joaquín	1:2
30.11.25	Real San Joaquín - Concón National	0:4
20.06.25	Concón National - Real San Joaquín	3:1
11.08.24	Real San Joaquín - Concón National	1:1
30.03.24	Concón National - Real San Joaquín	0:2

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