Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 4

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín (Santiago de Chile)


	Real San Joaquín		Provincial Ovalle

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.45	1.88
	3.35	3.71	2
	3.39	3.74	1.91	Watch
	3.4	3.25	1.91
	3.41	3.52	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.38)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)	1.92 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real San Joaquín
26.8%

Draw
25.8%

Provincial Ovalle
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.5%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real San Joaquín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real San Joaquín's form might have worsened.

Provincial Ovalle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Provincial Ovalle's recent form is better than expected.

Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Castellano V. (G) 24. Abbruzzese R. 4. Benavente A. 22. Carreno J. 5. Escalona Armijo M. 11. Farias I. 3. Mancilla N. 9. Marcotti L. 6. Munoz I. (C) 2. Navarrete D. 7. Rojas N.	18. Abarca C. (G) 30. Araya B. 8. Cabrera Figueroa L. 14. Canessa O. 27. Carreno L. 19. Castro B. 29. Duma C. 11. Maluenda L. 21. Matamala C. 5. Millalen E. 16. Solano B.
Substitutes
8. Contreras P. 14. Figueroa B. 10. Marquez B. 18. Nunez S. 20. Reyes F. 12. Saul A. (G) . Yodildan Cruz	2. Arce L. 24. Avila M. 22. Ceron D. 13. Maureira M. 12. Orellana G. (G) 25. Rosales F. 7. Salazar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Abbruzzese R. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Solano B. ⚽,
33', Canessa O. 🟨,
36', Farias I. 🟨,
36', Solano B. 🟨,
38', Carreno J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Marcotti L. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Carreno J. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Rojas N. ↓, Figueroa B. ↑,
65', Canessa O. ↓, Avila M. ↑,
65', Cabrera Figueroa L. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
72', Carreno J. ↓, Contreras P. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Duma C. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Farias I. ⚽,
80', Castro B. ↓, Salazar D. ↑,
80', Carreno L. ↓, Rosales F. ↑,
84', Farias I. ↓, Reyes F. ↑,
90', Abbruzzese R. 🟨,
90+5', Reyes F. 🟨,

Preview

Ovalle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real San Joaquín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Real San Joaquín won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real San Joaquín
Chilean Segunda Division
11.04.26	Concón National - Real San Joaquín	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Real San Joaquín - Santiago City	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Real San Joaquín - Concón National	0:4 ✺
23.11.25	Deportes Melipilla - Real San Joaquín	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WLLTW
- Provincial Ovalle FC
Chilean Segunda Division
12.04.26	Trasandino de Los Andes - Provincial Ovalle	4:2 ✺
04.04.26	Provincial Ovalle - Concón National	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Brujas Salamanca - Provincial Ovalle	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Provincial Ovalle	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Provincial Ovalle - Brujas Salamanca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
08.11.25	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle	1:0
30.05.25	Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín	0:0
12.10.24	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle	1:2
19.05.24	Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín	4:0

Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide