Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 14

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Atlético Municipal de Concón (Concón)


	Concón National		Santiago City

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.40	3.50
	2.06	3.25	2.90
	1.88	3.68	3.78
	1.87	3.76	3.49	Watch
	1.84	3.60	3.45
	1.97	3.52	3.62
	1.85	3.30	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.06)	3.5 ↑ (3.25)	3.48 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concón National
47.9%

Draw
26%

Santiago City
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

25.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concón National has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Concón National's performance.

Santiago City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concón National than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Concón National - Santiago City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuentes C. (G)
21. Cerda A.
16. Cubillos F.
4. Fuentes B.
22. Gattas R.
10. Ragusa F.
5. Santelices G.
25. Ugarte A.
9. Vargas L.
23. Vega C.
3. Velasquez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Aguero J. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Cerda A. ⚽,
45', 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Nunez F. ⚽,
45+3', Muller I. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Gatica M. 🟥,
57', 2 - 2, Vega C. ⚽,
67', Nunez F. ↓, Claveria N. ↑,
72', Santelices G. ↓, Carcamo M. ↑,
72', Vargas L. ↓, Bustos G. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Carcamo M. ⚽,
85', Fuentes B. ↓, Araya K. ↑,
85', Gattas R. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 2, Bustos G. ⚽,

Preview

Concón National is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Santiago City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santiago City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Concón National is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Concón National won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Concón National won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santiago City	6	4	2	0	9:3	6	14
4	Concon National	6	3	0	3	7:8	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concón National
Chilean Segunda Division
05.07.26	Brujas Salamanca - Concón National	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Concón National - Atlético Colina	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Real San Joaquín - Concón National	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Concón National - Provincial Ovalle	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Trasandino de Los Andes - Concón National	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWWW
- Santiago City FC
Chilean Segunda Division
26.06.26	Santiago City - Provincial Ovalle	3:2 ✺
20.06.26	Trasandino de Los Andes - Santiago City	5:1 ✺
06.06.26	Santiago City - Atlético Colina	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Brujas Salamanca - Santiago City	0:0 ✺
25.05.26	Santiago City - Real San Joaquín	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
09.05.26	Santiago City - Concón National	1:1
07.09.25	Santiago City - Concón National	4:2
13.04.25	Concón National - Santiago City	5:0

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