Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 8

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Lo Barnechea (Santiago de Chile)


	Santiago City		Real San Joaquín

	1	X	2
	2.34	3.08	3.15
	2.51	2.48	3.51	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.2
	1.99	3.06	3.68
	2.04	3.35	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.04)	3.04 ↓ (3.35)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago City
42.4%

Draw
30.2%

Real San Joaquín
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Real San Joaquín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Santiago City - Real San Joaquín Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Santiago City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Real San Joaquín (2.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real San Joaquín (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maslovski M. (G) 9. Aguero J. 28. Alvarez D. 20. Arias B. 2. Arias M. 6. Diaz A. 4. Gonzalez D. 10. Medel de la Fuente M. 3. Muller I. 5. Munoz D. 11. Taiva B.	1. Castellano V. (G) 4. Benavente A. 22. Carreno J. 26. Cruz Y. 5. Escalona Armijo M. 14. Figueroa B. 3. Mancilla N. 28. Maureira D. 6. Munoz I. 2. Navarrete D. 7. Rojas N.
Substitutes
21. Arancibia B. 24. Barrios T. 17. Cardenas P. 13. Gatica M. 12. Montecinos A. (G) 30. Nunez F. 18. Violante P.	24. Abbruzzese R. 8. Contreras P. 25. Gomez J. 17. Leger L. 27. Nunez S. 20. Reyes F. 12. Saul A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Maureira D. 🟨,
22', Rojas N. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
32', Muller I. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Carreno J. ⚽,
45+2', Diaz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Alvarez D. ↓, Arancibia B. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Figueroa B. ⚽,
60', Arias M. ↓, Cardenas P. ↑,
60', Diaz A. ↓, Barrios T. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Cardenas P. ⚽,
71', Cruz Y. ↓, Contreras P. ↑,
81', Gonzalez D. ↓, Nunez F. ↑,
84', Figueroa B. ↓, Abbruzzese R. ↑,
84', Maureira D. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
84', Carreno J. ↓, Reyes F. ↑,
85', Aguero J. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Cardenas P. ⚽,

Preview

Santiago City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real San Joaquín has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santiago City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santiago City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Santiago City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santiago City	6	4	2	0	9:3	6	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago City FC
Chilean Segunda Division
09.05.26	Santiago City - Concón National	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Provincial Ovalle - Santiago City	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Santiago City - Trasandino de Los Andes	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Atlético Colina - Santiago City	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Santiago City - Brujas Salamanca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWWTT
- Real San Joaquín
Chilean Segunda Division
10.05.26	Real San Joaquín - Atlético Colina	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Trasandino de Los Andes - Real San Joaquín	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Real San Joaquín - Brujas Salamanca	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Concón National - Real San Joaquín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
22.03.26	Real San Joaquín - Santiago City	1:2
14.09.25	Real San Joaquín - Santiago City	2:3
18.05.25	Santiago City - Real San Joaquín	2:1

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