Match Info
BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 11Date: 30 June 2024, SundayLocation: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)
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 |
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Brasil de Pelotas |
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Novo Hamburgo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.1 |
3.75 |
|
 |
1.98 |
3.07 |
3.84 |
|
 |
1.94 |
3.16 |
3.91 |
|
 |
1.91 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.1 |
3.82 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.1 |
3.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.27) |
3.09 ↑
(2.9) |
3.72 ↑
(3.17) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Brasil de Pelotas
46.4% | Draw
29.3% | Novo Hamburgo
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brasil de Pelotas's performance.Novo Hamburgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brasil de Pelotas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Mario Henrique ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 61', 2 - 0, Felipe Santiago (Own goal),
- 66', 3 - 0, Guimaraes M. ⚽,
- 69', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho | | | 20.01.24 | Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo | 0:0 | | Brazilian Serie D | | | 09.07.23 | Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo | 1:0 | | 21.05.23 | Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas | 0:0 | | Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho | | | 08.02.23 | Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas | 2:0 | | 13.02.22 | Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo | 1:1 | | 24.03.21 | Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas | 1:1 | | 27.02.21 | Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas | 1:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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