Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 4

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday


	Novo Hamburgo		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.85	3.3
	2.3	2.8	3.3
	2.25	2.66	3.37
	2.27	2.81	3.42	Watch
	2.23	2.82	3.41
	2.3	2.8	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.38)	2.79 ↓ (2.92)	3.35 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novo Hamburgo
40.4%

Draw
32.5%

Brasil de Pelotas
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

31.2%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

29.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Mauricio ⚽,
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Lucao ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Serie D
30.06.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo	3:1 ✺
26.06.24	Avenida - Novo Hamburgo	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Novo Hamburgo - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
19.06.24	Novo Hamburgo - Concórdia	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Novo Hamburgo - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWT
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
30.06.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo	3:1 ✺
26.06.24	Cianorte - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
12.06.24	FC Cascavel - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
30.06.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo	3:1
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
20.01.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo	0:0
Brazilian Serie D
09.07.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo	1:0
21.05.23	Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.02.23	Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0
13.02.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo	1:1
24.03.21	Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1

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