Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 5

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao) (Aracaju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Confiança		Internacional de Limeira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	2.95	3.7
	2.22	2.92	3.1
	2.33	3.05	3.17
	2.19	3.03	3.45	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.6
	2.19	2.86	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.86)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	3.4 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
42.5%

Draw
30.8%

Internacional de Limeira
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

29%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Confiança's form might have worsened.

Internacional de Limeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Confiança, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Confiança - Internacional de Limeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Pascoal (G) 21. Breiner C. 8. Gabriel Zeca 11. Iago Silva 3. Icaro (C) 9. Joao Pedro 4. Lucas Cunha 6. Marcelo Nunes 10. PK 13. Renilson 2. Valdir Junior	1. Saulo (G) 20. Fabricio Dias 3. Frazan 17. Getulio 6. Joao Victor 25. Lucas Buchecha 4. Lucas Santos 9. Miguel Bianconi 35. Romarinho 16. Vitor Leque 2. Yan Silva
Substitutes
20. Andrey Quintino 7. Danielzinho 14. Eduardo Moura 17. Fabricio 15. Gustavo Nicola 5. Lorran 19. Maikon Aquino 16. Matheus Juliao 12. Matheus Silva (G) 18. Paulo Henrique 99. Sassa 22. Weriton	10. Claudinho 23. Emerson Junior (G) 31. Emerson Santos 22. Gabriel Dias 34. Leo Paraiso 8. Luiz Guilherme 26. Marco Antonio 14. Nassom 32. Richard 30. Robson 5. Ronaldo Henrique 27. Vidal
Coaches
Cacapa C.	Matheus Costa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Romarinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Renilson ↓, Lorran ↑,
46', Breiner C. ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
58', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
73', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Inter de Limeira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Confiança could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Confiança - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
25.04.26	Brusque - Confiança	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	Grêmio - Confiança	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
18.04.26	Confiança - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLWT
- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ituano	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Anápolis - Internacional de Limeira	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Internacional de Limeira - Floresta	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.03.26	Internacional de Limeira - CA Juventus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTWLL

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