Match Info
Copa do Nordeste - Round 5Date: 29 April 2026, WednesdayLocation: Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao) (Aracaju)
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Confiança |
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Vitória Salvador |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Confiança 28.2% | Draw 32.6% | Vitória Salvador 39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+3.1%)Confiança - Vitória Salvador Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1. Rafael Pascoal (G) 8. Gabriel Zeca 11. Iago Silva 3. Icaro 9. Joao Pedro 6. Kelvyn 4. Lucas Cunha 10. PK 13. Renilson 2. Valdir Junior 7. Weriton
| 1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 25. Caca 95. Caique Goncalves 6. Emmanuel Martinez 33. Erick 83. Jamerson 31. Lopez R. 36. Luan Candido 10. Matheuzinho 45. Nathan Mendes 88. Ze Vitor
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| Substitutes |
21. Andrey Quintino 20. Breiner C. 33. Danielzinho 14. Eduardo Moura 15. Gustavo Nicola 5. Lorran 18. Marcelo Nunes 12. Matheus Silva (G) 99. Sassa
| 17. Cantalapiedra A. 26. Edenilson 23. Fabricio 20. Lucas Silva 7. Marinho 77. Neris 11. Osvaldo 62. Pablo 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 69. Wanderson 71. Yuri (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Lopez R. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Gabriel Zeca ⚽,
- 21', Kelvyn ↓, Marcelo Nunes ↑,
- 41', 1 - 2, Rafael Pascoal (Own goal),
- 45+2', PK 🟨,
- 45+4', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Weriton ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 2, Iago Silva ⚽,
- 65', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
- 68', Lopez R. ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 68', Caique Goncalves ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
- 69', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 71', Breiner C. 🟨,
- 74', Jamerson ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
- 75', Gabriel Zeca ↓, Lorran ↑,
- 75', Joao Pedro ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
- 76', Iago Silva ↓, Sassa ↑,
- 84', Ze Vitor ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 84', Matheuzinho ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
- 87', Renilson 🟨,
- 90+1', Sassa 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Confiança won 2.Confiança is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Confiança has had a series of away games. Vitória might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Confiança won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Confiança won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;